{"id":8884,"date":"2021-12-21T10:24:54","date_gmt":"2021-12-21T15:24:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lba.ca\/?page_id=8884"},"modified":"2021-12-21T10:24:56","modified_gmt":"2021-12-21T15:24:56","slug":"serie-de-rapports-de-recherche-sur-la-carboneutralite","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.lba.ca\/fr\/serie-de-rapports-de-recherche-sur-la-carboneutralite\/","title":{"rendered":"S\u00e9rie de rapports de recherche sur la carboneutralit\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u00a0<\/p>\n

S\u00e9rie de rapports de recherche sur la carboneutralit\u00e9<\/h1>\n

Le 21 d\u00e9cembre 2021\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

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Bien que la consommation d\u2019\u00e9nergies fossiles ait \u00e9norm\u00e9ment am\u00e9lior\u00e9 notre niveau de vie au cours des 150\u00a0derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, elle a aussi ind\u00e9niablement contribu\u00e9 au r\u00e9chauffement climatique mondial. Si rien n\u2019est fait, ce dernier aura probablement des cons\u00e9quences d\u00e9vastatrices. En tant que gestionnaires de portefeuille, nous devons tenir compte des r\u00e9percussions \u00e0 long terme de la fa\u00e7on dont nous r\u00e9pondons aux d\u00e9fis que repr\u00e9sentent les changements climatiques pour notre s\u00e9lection de secteurs et de titres. La solution n\u2019est pas si simple; il ne suffit pas de choisir d\u2019investir ou de cesser d\u2019investir dans les actions p\u00e9troli\u00e8res. C\u2019est un dilemme plan\u00e9taire complexe. Nous consacrons davantage de temps \u00e0 la recherche de solutions permettant d\u2019atteindre la carboneutralit\u00e9 (r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions nettes \u00e0 z\u00e9ro) et \u00e0 l\u2019analyse de leur impact sur nos d\u00e9cisions li\u00e9es aux portefeuilles. Nous vous communiquerons nos observations dans une s\u00e9rie de rapports de recherche qui seront publi\u00e9s prochainement.<\/p>\n

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L\u2019apr\u00e8s COP\u00a026<\/h3>\n

Le mois dernier, dans le cadre de la 26e<\/sup>\u00a0conf\u00e9rence annuelle des Nations unies sur les changements climatiques (COP\u00a026), des dirigeants du monde entier se sont fix\u00e9 comme objectif de limiter le r\u00e9chauffement de l\u2019atmosph\u00e8re terrestre \u00e0 1,5\u00a0degr\u00e9 par rapport au niveau pr\u00e9industriel. Plus de 200\u00a0\u00c9tats ont pass\u00e9 en revue les grands engagements en mati\u00e8re de climat de l\u2019Accord de Paris de 2015, ont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 leurs plans de r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre (GES) d\u2019ici 2030 et se sont engag\u00e9s \u00e0 atteindre l\u2019objectif de carboneutralit\u00e9 d\u2019ici 2050. R\u00e9sultat\u00a0: l\u2019adoption du Pacte sur le climat de Glasgow, qui appelle \u00e0 renforcer les ambitions climatiques \u00e0 court terme et \u00e0 r\u00e9duire l\u2019utilisation des \u00e9nergies fossiles plus rapidement.<\/p>\n

Les entreprises ont aussi un r\u00f4le \u00e0 jouer dans la transition vers une \u00e9conomie \u00e0 plus faibles \u00e9missions de carbone. Selon des sondages men\u00e9s par la Energy & Climate Intelligence Unit et l\u2019Universit\u00e9 d\u2019Oxford, 21\u00a0% des 2\u00a0000\u00a0plus grandes entreprises de la plan\u00e8te se sont engag\u00e9es \u00e0 r\u00e9duire \u00e0 z\u00e9ro leurs \u00e9missions nettes d\u2019ici 2050. Ces sondages indiquent \u00e9galement que ces engagements proviennent de pays et d’entreprises \u00e0 l\u2019origine de 61\u00a0% des \u00e9missions mondiales de GES, qui repr\u00e9sentent 60\u00a0% du PIB mondial et qui regroupent 56\u00a0% de la population mondiale.<\/p>\n

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Bien que les gouvernements et les entreprises ne m\u00e9nagent aucun effort pour trouver des solutions, chaque secteur conna\u00eet son lot de d\u00e9fis. Selon l\u2019Agence internationale de l\u2019\u00e9nergie (AIE), la production d\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et de chaleur est responsable de 32\u00a0% des \u00e9missions mondiales de CO2.<\/sub> La r\u00e9duction des co\u00fbts de l\u2019\u00e9nergie renouvelable, dont les \u00e9nergies solaire et \u00e9olienne, permet d\u2019envisager des solutions de rechange viables au charbon et au gaz naturel. Toutefois, l\u2019\u00e9nergie renouvelable requiert une charge de base ou le stockage sur batteries \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle du r\u00e9seau \u00e9lectrique pour assurer un approvisionnement \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique uniforme et fiable. La technologie des batteries est encore aux premiers stades de l\u2019utilisation \u00e0 grande \u00e9chelle, et la charge de base continuerait de provenir principalement de combustibles fossiles. L\u2019\u00e9nergie nucl\u00e9aire pourrait aussi servir de source d\u2019\u00e9nergie primaire, mais l\u2019\u00e9limination des d\u00e9chets demeure probl\u00e9matique et la perception du public est un facteur dissuasif. Le passage au gaz naturel, un type d\u2019\u00e9nergie fossile \u00e0 plus faibles \u00e9missions, pourrait faciliter la transition vers l\u2019objectif de carboneutralit\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Dans le secteur du transport, \u00e0 l\u2019origine de 14\u00a0% des \u00e9missions mondiales de CO2<\/sub>, la popularit\u00e9 accrue des v\u00e9hicules \u00e9lectriques favorise la r\u00e9duction de la consommation d\u2019essence et de diesel. Comme nous l\u2019expliquons dans notre rapport exhaustif intitul\u00e9 Le climat change.<\/em> L\u2019\u00e8re des v\u00e9hicules \u00e9lectriques est \u00e0 nos portes. Devrions-nous encore investir dans le p\u00e9trole?<\/em><\/a>, le p\u00e9trole est un combustible fossile qui repr\u00e9sente environ un tiers des \u00e9missions annuelles de CO2<\/sub> dans le monde. Nous nous devons d\u2019en restreindre la consommation pour limiter le r\u00e9chauffement climatique \u00e0 1,5\u00a0degr\u00e9. Bien que les plus grands gestionnaires d\u2019actifs de la plan\u00e8te promettent de r\u00e9duire l\u2019empreinte carbone de leurs portefeuilles en cessant d\u2019investir dans les titres li\u00e9s aux \u00e9nergies fossiles, certains ne sont pas pr\u00eats \u00e0 reconna\u00eetre que la solution est, dans les faits, plus nuanc\u00e9e. Il est ind\u00e9niable que les combustibles fossiles sont inextricablement li\u00e9s \u00e0 notre vie quotidienne. Il sera extr\u00eamement difficile et co\u00fbteux de nous affranchir de notre d\u00e9pendance, surtout dans les pays en d\u00e9veloppement o\u00f9 les besoins \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques sont \u00e9normes et les ressources, rares.<\/p>\n

Les proc\u00e9d\u00e9s industriels sont responsables de 19\u00a0% des \u00e9missions mondiales de CO2<\/sub>. Des nouvelles m\u00e9thodes de production alternatives aident \u00e0 r\u00e9duire l\u2019intensit\u00e9 carbone des produits \u00e0 \u00e9missions \u00e9lev\u00e9es, comme le ciment et l\u2019acier. Toutefois, il faudra investir massivement dans les infrastructures industrielles et les reconfigurer, tout en modernisant les usines. Dans le cas de l\u2019acier, cela exigera probablement de modifier une partie importante du syst\u00e8me de production mondial. En outre, la technologie ne permet pas pour l\u2019instant de r\u00e9duire toutes les \u00e9missions de carbone. Le captage et le stockage du CO2 <\/sub>jouent un r\u00f4le essentiel dans la r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions r\u00e9siduelles pour atteindre l\u2019objectif de carboneutralit\u00e9. Bien que des progr\u00e8s encourageants aient \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9alis\u00e9s dans ce domaine, la technologie n\u2019est qu\u2019aux tout premiers stades de sa commercialisation et sa mise en application \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle du globe n\u00e9cessitera \u00e9galement un apport de capitaux important.<\/p>\n

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Pr\u00e9sentation de nos rapports de recherche sur la carboneutralit\u00e9<\/h3>\n

Notre\u00a0comit\u00e9 des changements climatiques joue un r\u00f4le actif dans l\u2019identification des risques et des occasions de placement d\u00e9coulant des changements climatiques, \u00e0 l\u2019int\u00e9rieur de nos portefeuilles et \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle des march\u00e9s des capitaux. Compos\u00e9 d\u2019un \u00e9chantillon des membres de l\u2019\u00e9quipe de gestionnaires de portefeuille et de professionnels des placements de la soci\u00e9t\u00e9, le comit\u00e9 analyse des sc\u00e9narios de changements climatiques, en se penchant en premier lieu sur les changements physiques mondiaux potentiels et leur impact sur la conjoncture macro\u00e9conomique, les politiques gouvernementales, les r\u00e8glements, la dynamique des secteurs d\u2019activit\u00e9 et le rendement des diverses soci\u00e9t\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

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Au d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e prochaine, nous lancerons une nouvelle s\u00e9rie de rapports de recherche ax\u00e9s sur la carboneutralit\u00e9 qui traiteront de plusieurs sujets, dont le fondement scientifique des changements climatiques, les principales sources d\u2019\u00e9missions et les solutions potentielles visant \u00e0 att\u00e9nuer le r\u00e9chauffement plan\u00e9taire. Nous aborderons en d\u00e9tail le concept de carboneutralit\u00e9 et nous vous ferons part de nos conclusions, qui orientent directement nos analyses de placement et notre strat\u00e9gie de portefeuille.<\/p>\n

Notre r\u00f4le de gestionnaire de portefeuille est multidimensionnel. D\u2019un c\u00f4t\u00e9, nous voulons contribuer \u00e0 limiter le r\u00e9chauffement climatique en intervenant aupr\u00e8s des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s en portefeuille, et \u00eatre \u00e0 l\u2019avant-garde de l\u2019investissement socialement responsable. De l\u2019autre, nous devons rester lucides et bien comprendre les cons\u00e9quences \u00e9conomiques, scientifiques, sociales et politiques de la transition vers une \u00e9conomie \u00e0 plus faibles \u00e9missions de carbone, tout en respectant notre obligation fiduciaire de g\u00e9n\u00e9rer des rendements durables pour nos clients. Pour en savoir plus sur ces enjeux complexes, nous vous invitons \u00e0 lire nos prochains rapports sur la caboneutralit\u00e9.<\/p>\n

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Les informations et opinions contenues dans les pr\u00e9sentes sont fournies \u00e0 titre indicatif seulement, sont sujettes \u00e0 changement et ne visent pas \u00e0 fournir des conseils d\u2019ordre comptable, juridique ou fiscal, ni des recommandations en mati\u00e8re de placement, et ne doivent pas \u00eatre utilis\u00e9es comme tel. \u00c0 moins d\u2019indication contraire, les renseignements sont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9s aux dates indiqu\u00e9es. Bien que ces renseignements soient consid\u00e9r\u00e9s comme exacts \u00e0 la date o\u00f9 ils ont \u00e9t\u00e9 pr\u00e9par\u00e9s, Letko, Brosseau & Associ\u00e9s Inc. ne peut garantir qu\u2019ils sont exacts, complets et \u00e0 jour en tout temps.<\/p>\n

Lorsque les renseignements proviennent ou sont d\u00e9riv\u00e9s de sources externes, les sources sont consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme fiables, mais la soci\u00e9t\u00e9 n\u2019en a pas effectu\u00e9 une v\u00e9rification ind\u00e9pendante. Aucune repr\u00e9sentation ou garantie n\u2019est fournie quant \u00e0 l\u2019exactitude, \u00e0 l\u2019exhaustivit\u00e9 ou \u00e0 la fiabilit\u00e9 de ces renseignements. Les opinions ou estimations pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es constituent notre jugement \u00e0 cette date et sont modifiables sans pr\u00e9avis.<\/p>\n

Les rendements pass\u00e9s ne sont pas garants des r\u00e9sultats futurs. Tous les placements pr\u00e9sentent un risque de perte et il n\u2019y a aucune garantie que les avantages exprim\u00e9s seront atteints ou r\u00e9alis\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

Les renseignements pr\u00e9sent\u00e9s ne constituent pas une offre ou une sollicitation d\u2019achat ou de vente de titres. Ils ne tiennent pas compte des objectifs, strat\u00e9gies, statuts fiscaux ou horizons d\u2019investissement particuliers des investisseurs. Aucune repr\u00e9sentation ou garantie n\u2019est fournie quant \u00e0 l\u2019exactitude des renseignements ni quant \u00e0 la responsabilit\u00e9 pour des d\u00e9cisions fond\u00e9es sur ceux-ci.<\/p>\n

Les pr\u00e9sentes peuvent contenir certaines d\u00e9clarations prospectives qui refl\u00e8tent nos attentes actuelles ou pr\u00e9visions quant \u00e0 des \u00e9v\u00e9nements futurs concernant l\u2019\u00e9conomie, les changements du march\u00e9 et ses tendances. De par leur nature, les \u00e9nonc\u00e9s prospectifs sont assujettis, entre autres, \u00e0 des risques, \u00e0 des incertitudes et \u00e0 des hypoth\u00e8ses concernant les devises, la croissance \u00e9conomique, les conditions actuelles et pr\u00e9vues et d\u2019autres facteurs appropri\u00e9s dans les circonstances qui peuvent faire en sorte que les performances, perspectives, \u00e9v\u00e9nements ou r\u00e9sultats r\u00e9els diff\u00e8rent sensiblement de ceux exprim\u00e9s dans, ou sous-entendus par, lesdits \u00e9nonc\u00e9s. Les lecteurs sont avis\u00e9s de ne pas se fier ind\u00fbment \u00e0 ces \u00e9nonc\u00e9s prospectifs.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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